Somalia
The Baidoa seizure and Laftagareen resignation confirm Mogadishu can impose outcomes on resistant federal units through force, nudging authority marginally upward from the prior score.
PF Score
25
Authority
40
Reach
16
Under construction
The Baidoa seizure and Laftagareen resignation confirm Mogadishu can impose outcomes on resistant federal units through force, nudging authority marginally upward from the prior score.
Coercive federal seizure of Baidoa advances central grip marginally.
No external projection capacity; influence confined to internal federal disputes.
No allied relationships
Abdiaziz Hassan Mohamed Laftagareen
Laftagareen served as President of South West State, one of Somalia's federal member states.
Somalia's federal government has demonstrated a willingness to use military force to resolve center-periphery disputes, seizing Baidoa and removing a resistant regional president ahead of a contested national election.
Somalia's federal government has set a precedent by using military force to resolve a federal-regional political dispute, removing a sitting regional president and seizing his capital.
Somalia's federal government has demonstrated willingness to use military force to suppress regional defection, temporarily narrowing the gap between nominal and effective federal authority.