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Analytical assessments

Assessments

21 assessments, doctrine-driven actor analysis updated as conditions shift.

Iran

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21 assessments
Open Iran: Attrition Without Collapse
Apr 4, 2026

Iran: Attrition Without Collapse

PF 41
Open United States: Military Gains, Strategic Drift
Mar 31, 2026

United States: Military Gains, Strategic Drift

PF 75
Open United Kingdom: No Leverage in a Fracturing Alliance
Mar 25, 2026

United Kingdom: No Leverage in a Fracturing Alliance

PF 66
Open Japan: Rearming Into a Vacuum
Mar 25, 2026

Japan: Rearming Into a Vacuum

PF 64
Open UAE: Commercial Superpower Under Kinetic Siege
Mar 25, 2026

United Arab Emirates: UAE: Commercial Superpower Under Kinetic Siege

PF 62
Open Norway: Arctic Convener Filling the American Vacuum
Mar 25, 2026

Norway: Arctic Convener Filling the American Vacuum

PF 61
Open Qatar: Struck at the Core, Losing the Brand
Mar 25, 2026

Qatar: Struck at the Core, Losing the Brand

PF 51
Open Israel: Strategic Apex, Sustainability Question
Mar 16, 2026

Israel: Strategic Apex, Sustainability Question

PF 78
Open China: Strategic Window, No Operational Capacity
Mar 16, 2026

China (CCP): China: Strategic Window, No Operational Capacity

PF 72
Open Russia: Reach Erosion Under Overextension
Mar 16, 2026

Russia: Reach Erosion Under Overextension

PF 66
Open Turkey: Ambiguity at the Crossroads
Mar 16, 2026

Turkey: Ambiguity at the Crossroads

PF 60
Open India: Strategic Autonomy Under Stress
Mar 16, 2026

India: Strategic Autonomy Under Stress

PF 59
Open Saudi Arabia: The Pakistan Pact
Mar 16, 2026

Saudi Arabia: The Pakistan Pact

PF 53
Open Ukraine: Frozen War, Eroding Leverage
Mar 16, 2026

Ukraine: Frozen War, Eroding Leverage

PF 38
Open Houthis: Restraint and Consolidation Pivot
Mar 16, 2026

Houthis: Restraint and Consolidation Pivot

PF 25
Open Germany: Bilateral Accommodation Trap
Mar 8, 2026

Germany: Bilateral Accommodation Trap

PF 68
Open Cuba: Apparatus Intact, Foundation Collapsed
Feb 26, 2026

Cuba: Apparatus Intact, Foundation Collapsed

PF 72
Open European Union: Treaty Power Without Sovereignty
Feb 26, 2026

European Union: Treaty Power Without Sovereignty

PF 42
Open Canada: Sovereignty Intact, Leverage Captured
Feb 26, 2026

Canada: Sovereignty Intact, Leverage Captured

PF 38
Open France: High-Functioning State, Selective Penetration
Feb 26, 2026

France: High-Functioning State, Selective Penetration

PF 32
Open Lebanon: Engineered Collapse
Feb 25, 2026

Lebanon: Engineered Collapse

PF 91