Weekly
Week 13
NATO Allies Defy US Amid Hormuz Crisis
Editorial Intelligence
Intelligence Briefs
Tracking where power is actually moving. Weekly judgments and monthly syntheses.
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Briefs
March 2026
America's Middle East Trap Emboldens Beijing
The U.S.-Israeli campaign killed Supreme Leader Khamenei, destroyed Iran's air force and navy, and degraded two-thirds of its missile production. By any conventional metric, Iran lost.
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Week 13
Iran Defies U.S.-Israeli Campaign, Seals Hormuz Strait
Four weeks into Operation Epic Fury, the U.S. and Israel have struck over 15,000 targets inside Iran, killed Supreme Leader Khamenei and destroyed two-thirds of Iran's missile production capacity.
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Week 12
South Asia Edges Toward Open Interstate War
Iran lost its de facto political leader when Israel killed Ali Larijani in a Tehran airstrike, the second apex-level decapitation in three weeks following Khamenei's death on February 28.
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Week 11
Iran's New Supreme Leader Faces Crippled Military
The U.S.-Israel war against Iran completed its third week with a paradox visible to everyone watching.
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Week 10
Iran's Hereditary Power Shift Defies Ideology
Iran survived a decapitation strike and installed a new supreme leader within days.
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