HybridAfricaSDNStable

Rapid Support Forces (RSF)

Hybrid

The April 2026 hospital drone strikes confirm continued RSF operational tempo across multiple provinces, but no single event since the last score represents a structural shift.

PF Score

32

1

Authority

47

Reach

22

PF ScoreLast 30 days

Under construction

32Overall1

The April 2026 hospital drone strikes confirm continued RSF operational tempo across multiple provinces, but no single event since the last score represents a structural shift.

47Auth1

Tasis proto-state and drone campaign sustain Darfur coercive grip.

22Reach

Egyptian supply interdiction caps external leverage at minimal floor.

Depth: Autonomous
All conflicts
Bloomberg·NewsJul 14, 2025

The collapse of Sudan's gold export relationship with the UAE marks a structural realignment of Sudan's wartime commodity economy away from its historically dominant Gulf partner.

MixedMajor Update
Sudan War Monitor·Analytical / LongformJan 1, 2025

Sudan's civil war has crossed from a transitional breakdown into a structural partition, with the RSF's gold revenues, UAE patronage, and parallel governance in Darfur constituting a self-sustaining parallel sovereign actor that cannot be reintegrated through negotiation or conventional military pressure alone.

MixedMajor Update
France 24·NewsMar 20, 2025

The Tiné drone strike represents a qualitative escalation in Sudan's civil war spillover, with cross-border attacks now producing mass casualties on Chadian soil.

WideningMinor Update