Sudan

Sudan's government is holding the capital but losing the country, with drone warfare and the RSF's hold on El Fasher pushing the war's center into Kordofan.

PF Score

12

Authority

25

Reach

6

WarmingCoolingStableHover a row for the 30-day breakdown

PF Score

Overall

12▼4

Sudan's government is holding the capital but losing the country, with drone warfare and the RSF's hold on El Fasher pushing the war's center into Kordofan.

Authority

Coercive grip is fraying as drone strikes and contested territory deepen the war's reach.

Reach

Regional standing narrows as Ethiopia ties snap and UAE backing of RSF goes public.

Dependency Quadrant·Sudan

Mixed posture: 3 dependents, 5 exposures.

3Dependents5Exposures

Top 8 Snapshots5to18

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West African Coups BeltWar

AfricaCivil War

Authority

Authority footing

23

Fragile Institutions

Reach

Population base

50M

Large Population

Vulnerability

Defense spending trend

-69%

Retrenching

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Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan

General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan seized power in Sudan's October 2021 coup, sidelining civilian transitional partners.

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