Chad
Haiti deployment modestly extends Chad's profile, but Sudan spillover caps gains.
PF Score
39
▲1Authority
52
Reach
30
Under construction
Haiti deployment modestly extends Chad's profile, but Sudan spillover caps gains. It remains clustered with Moldova, Tunisia, and Togo rather than approaching Egypt, because the state still governs coherently at home while its external relevance is episodic and heavily bounded by border insecurity.
Border spillover pressures sovereignty but core state control holds.
Haiti mission adds limited projection beyond the Sahel.
No allied relationships
Mahamat Idriss Déby
Mahamat Idriss Déby assumed the presidency of Chad in April 2021 following the death of his father, Idriss Déby Itno.
The Tiné drone strike represents a qualitative escalation in Sudan's civil war spillover, with cross-border attacks now producing mass casualties on Chadian soil.
The GSF's initial deployment represents a marginal but meaningful shift in Haiti's security trajectory — the first externally mandated force with direct arrest authority — but the structural conditions that doomed its predecessor (funding gaps, insufficient manpower, institutional dysfunction) remain unresolved.