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StateAfricaDZAStable

Algeria

Europe’s gas scramble slightly lifts Algeria’s external leverage.

PF Score

51

▲1

Authority

60

Reach

43

PF ScoreLast 30 days

Under construction

51Overall▲1

Europe’s gas scramble slightly lifts Algeria’s external leverage.

60Auth

Security apparatus and rent flows preserve stable internal control.

43Reach▲3

Emergency gas diplomacy expands leverage into Europe and Sahel.

Depth: None
Allies & Partners10
RussiaPartner
+50
Lev
15
Dep
55
ItalyDependent
+15+40
Lev
65
Dep
20
China (CCP)Partner
+40
Lev
15
Dep
35
European UnionPartner
+8+38
Lev
72
Dep
18
Adversaries & Rivals3
FranceRival
-10-30
Lev
45
Dep
15
MaliRival
-20
Lev
45
Dep
20
QatarRival
+10-10
Lev
30
Dep
8
All conflicts
Western SaharaConflict
Africa· Frozen Conflict
Algeria-Morocco RivalrySimmering
Africa· Territorial Dispute

Abdelmadjid Tebboune

Abdelmadjid Tebboune has served as Algeria's President since December 2019, re-elected in September 2024.

Foreign Policy·Analytical / LongformApr 1, 2025

Algeria is converting Middle East energy disruption into a structural geopolitical advantage — extracting higher European gas prices while expanding Sahel patronage as Iran's proxy networks degrade.

NarrowingMajor Update
Unknown·Analytical / LongformJul 14, 2025

The dual Hormuz-Red Sea chokepoint crisis has converted North Africa and the Sahel from passively vulnerable to actively destabilizing environments.

WideningMinor Update