A geopolitical intelligence engine. Tracking how power actually moves through the world.

See plans Read the Substack

Explore

Actors
Conflicts
World Map
Network
The Daily

Analysis

Power Shifts
Assessments
Briefs
Relationships
Ask PowerFlow

Learn

Method & Sources
About
Pricing
Privacy
Terms

© 2026 PowerFlow

Authority × Reach

Power Shifts Assessments Briefs Relationships

Actors Conflicts World Map Network

Tajikistan · PowerFlow

←Actor Leaderboard

State

Global

/TJK

Tajikistan

Dushanbe is locking itself deeper into Beijing's orbit, with an $8 billion package and a permanent friendship treaty that make China the dominant outside partner.

PF Score

21

Authority

37

Reach

12

Tajikistan·21

Migration
Trajectory
Dependencies
Relationships
Analysis
Footing
Figures
Activity

Overall

21▼1

Dushanbe is locking itself deeper into Beijing's orbit, with an $8 billion package and a permanent friendship treaty that make China the dominant outside partner.

Authority

Rahmon's grip holds, propped up by fresh Chinese financing and elite patronage.

Reach

Limited regional weight, but Beijing's embrace and EU bank delisting widen the diplomatic lane.

Dependency Quadrant·Tajikistan

Mixed posture: 1 dependents, 2 exposures.

1Dependents2Exposures

Top 3 Snapshots3to8

Plus content

Relationship depth is reserved for Plus.

Upgrade to trace the strongest alignments, directional shifts, and network context around this actor.

Tajikistan-Kyrgyzstan Border DisputeSimmering

EurasiaTerritorial Dispute

Authority

Mobilization mode

1

Electoral autocracy

Vulnerability

Defense spending trend

122%

Rearming

Fiscal capacity

Low Capacity

+1

Rule of law (V-Dem)

Fragile Institutions

0

Polyarchy

Weak Institutions

0

Defense burden

Light Burden

2%

Defense spending / person

Low Priority

$23

Plus content

Show more opens with Plus.

The headline structural cards stay visible. Upgrade to open the deeper institutional table beneath them.

Emomali Rahmon

President of Tajikistan

Emomali Rahmon has ruled Tajikistan since 1992 and built a highly centralized presidential system after the civil war.

Plus content

Recent activity is part of the Plus read.

Upgrade to follow the latest events, feed movement, and live context that sits beneath the public actor snapshot.

WarmingCoolingStableHover a row for the 30-day breakdown

PF Score