South Sudan heads to a December vote with rebels holding most rural areas. Unpaid soldiers are selling their weapons and looted Sudanese stockpiles are arming

PF Score

Authority

Reach

South Sudan·8

Migration
Trajectory
Profile
Dependencies
Relationships
Activity
Footing

WarmingCoolingStable

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Score Trajectory

PF Score

Overall

8▼1

South Sudan heads to a December vote with rebels holding most rural areas. Unpaid soldiers are selling their weapons and looted Sudanese stockpiles are arming

Authority

Four fifths of the population live beyond any government's reach.

Reach

Juba is a destination for other people's wars, not a participant elsewhere.

Power Profile

Grip at Home: 12 out of 100
Weight: 32 out of 100
Regard: 46 out of 100
Outward Power: 6 out of 100
Growth: 0 out of 100

Dependency Quadrant

Mixed posture: 0 dependents, 3 exposures.

0Dependents3Exposures

Top 3 Snapshots3to10

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Strategic Profile

Authority

Authority footing

Fragile Institutions

Reach

Population base

12M

Large Population

Vulnerability

Defense spending trend

204%

Rearming

Mobilization mode

Closed autocracy

Fiscal capacity

Low Capacity

-1

Government effectiveness

Weak Governance

Trade openness

Closed Trade

66%

Economic scale

Limited Economy

$12B

Capital openness

Closed Capital

Energy position

Net exporter

-860%

Defense burden

Heavy Burden

Remittance exposure

High Exposure

Defense spending / person

Low Priority

$15

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