StateAsia-PacificKORStable

South Korea

Energy shock and thinner U.S. cover keep South Korea compressed.

PF Score

52

1

Authority

64

Reach

43

PF ScoreLast 30 days

Under construction

52Overall1

Energy shock and thinner U.S. cover keep South Korea compressed.

64Auth

Energy rationing strains a still cohesive state apparatus.

43Reach

Alliance dependence caps projection despite wider Indo-Pacific ties.

Dependency Chain
South KoreaUnited States
Depth: Autonomous
All conflicts

Lee Jae-Myung

current President of South Korea

Lee Jae-myung is the current President of South Korea, having come to power as leader of the Democratic Party.

Foreign Policy·Analytical / LongformMar 5, 2026

The convergence of the Iran war's economic fallout, U.S. tariff violations, and THAAD redeployment has moved South Korea's alliance reassessment from elite discourse to mainstream political pressure.

WideningMinor Update
NewsApr 5, 2026

Iran's missile and drone campaign is degrading the sustainability of the U.S.-aligned air-defense architecture even where interception rates remain high.

WideningMinor Update
RFI·NewsJul 10, 2025

France's back-to-back state visits to Japan and South Korea produce a nascent European-Indo-Pacific alignment on Strait of Hormuz navigation, critical mineral supply chains, and strategic technology — narrowing France's gap between claimed global power and actual multilateral influence.

NarrowingMinor Update