HybridAfricaLBY

Libyan National Army

Hybrid

The drone acquisition at Al Khadim is the defining first-score signal, confirming LNA's upward trajectory from the non-state baseline.

PF Score

32

Authority

42

Reach

25

PF ScoreLast 30 days

Under construction

32Overall

The drone acquisition at Al Khadim is the defining first-score signal, confirming LNA's upward trajectory from the non-state baseline. Chinese and Turkish systems bolster Haftar's coercive leverage in unification negotiations, but reliance on third-party operators caps the autonomous capacity gain.

42Auth

Drone and arms deals consolidate eastern-Libya territorial grip.

25Reach

Chinese patron backing enables limited cross-border projection into Sudan corridor.

Depth: Agent
All conflicts
Reuters·NewsMar 27, 2025

Haftar's acquisition of Chinese and Turkish combat drones at Al Khadim narrows the power gap between his claimed authority and actual coercive capacity in eastern Libya, with cascading implications for the ceasefire balance and regional proxy networks.

NarrowingMajor Update
Middle East Eye·NewsApr 7, 2025

The UN Panel report documents the near-complete capture of Libya's oil governance architecture by competing armed group networks, with the Haftar family's eastern operation now exercising de facto control over the NOC's decision-making pipeline and routing $3bn+ offshore via Arkenu.

WideningMajor Update