StateGlobalTKM

Turkmenistan

Establishing a baseline for Turkmenistan, the dominant structural feature is the combination of tight authoritarian closure and near-total dependence on a single external lever: gas exports to China.

PF Score

39

Authority

60

Reach

25

PF ScoreLast 30 days

Under construction

39Overall

Establishing a baseline for Turkmenistan, the dominant structural feature is the combination of tight authoritarian closure and near-total dependence on a single external lever: gas exports to China.

60Auth

Hermetic autocratic consolidation sustains domestic grip above regional peers.

25Reach

Single-commodity gas dependency on China is the sole external lever.

Depth: None
Jamestown Foundation·Analytical / LongformOct 1, 2025

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MixedMinor Update