Thailand
Thailand holds a stable mid-tier position, sitting above Philippines on authority and below Jordan on reach.
PF Score
39
Authority
52
Reach
29
Under construction
Thailand holds a stable mid-tier position, sitting above Philippines on authority and below Jordan on reach.
Military-backed institutions sustain functional state control with limited internal challenge; no event signals meaningful consolidation or erosion this cycle.
Laos fuel dependency on Thailand confirms structural regional leverage; Hormuz transit coordination secured independently signals modest diplomatic agency beyond the immediate neighborhood.
No adversarial relationships
Laos's inflation surge to 9.7% in March 2025 signals that Middle East conflict energy spillovers are now actively destabilizing fragile Southeast Asian economies with no direct exposure to the conflict zone.
Iran is converting Hormuz access into a bilateral diplomatic instrument, rewarding states that condemned U.S.-Israeli strikes with preferential transit rights.