HybridAmericasCUB
GAESA
Hybrid
No prior score exists, so this is an establishment baseline.
PF Score
37
Authority
62
Reach
22
PF ScoreLast 30 days
Under construction
37Overall
No prior score exists, so this is an establishment baseline. GAESA functions as Cuba's dominant economic conglomerate, controlling an estimated 60-80% of the island's hard-currency flows through tourism, retail, and remittances infrastructure.
62Auth
Monopoly economic control within Cuba, but eroding state capacity constrains grip.
22Reach
Dollar-channel leverage over diaspora flows is narrow and reactive.
Depth: Principal
Allies & Partners1
CubaCoercive Protectorate / Imposed Dominance
+60
Lev
75
Dep
40
Adversaries & Rivals1
United StatesAdversary
-80
Lev
8
Dep
35
Council on Foreign Relations·Analytical / LongformMar 17, 2025
Cuba's simultaneous collapse across energy, labor, and foreign exchange pillars represents a structural failure of the post-Soviet socialist economic model, not a cyclical downturn.
WideningMajor Update