IGOAfrica

ECOWAS

IGO

ECOWAS enters the registry in a structurally degraded posture.

PF Score

30

Authority

33

Reach

28

PF ScoreLast 30 days

Under construction

30Overall

ECOWAS enters the registry in a structurally degraded posture. The Sahel coup belt has stripped four member states from meaningful participation, and the oil price shock now compounds fiscal stress across the remaining membership, reducing national bandwidth to fund or staff regional commitments.

33Auth

Nigeria anchor holds form; Sahel defections gut enforcement credibility.

28Reach

Sub-regional peacekeeping legacy persists, but oil shock strains operational bandwidth.

Depth: None
All conflicts
Unknown·Analytical / LongformMar 1, 2025

Persian Gulf escalation is already generating measurable second-order degradation across African state capacity — through fuel, food, and fertiliser price shocks — before any direct military conflict has materialized on the continent.

WideningMinor Update